KYODO PAPER HOLDINGS

9849 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Standard
¥4,510.00
-0.22%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9849
KYODO PAPER HOLDINGS
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥4,510.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,533.78Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
28/100
Profitability14/25
Returns0/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency3/25
Growth15/25
Weak
Quality radar
28Prof.14/25Ret.0/25Eff.3/25B.Sht11/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,533.78
Above FV
▼ -66.0% against the close used
Model range ¥585.71 – ¥2,714.19
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥585.71Fair value¥1,533.78Bull¥2,714.19
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,435.0052W high ¥4,720.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

KYODO PAPER HOLDINGS closed at ¥4,510.00, 194.0% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,533.78 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 28/100 — Weak. P/E of 80.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,643.69
-63.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,714.19
-39.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=55.9, BVPS=5857.14 · outside Graham range (P/E 80.7, P/B 0.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,118.00
-75.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=55.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,677.00
-62.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=55.9, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥650.91
-85.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=43.99M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥638.28
-85.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.06, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥585.71
-87.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5857.14, ROE=1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,510.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 26.1% | Historical: -31.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,368.97
-69.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1825.29, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.