GOURMET KINEYA CO.,LTD.

9850 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥990.00
+0.71%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9850
GOURMET KINEYA CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥990.00
Close used for this calculation
¥252.99Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
22/100
Profitability12/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency2/25
Growth9/25
Weak
Quality radar
22Prof.12/25Ret.1/25Eff.2/25B.Sht7/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥252.99
Above FV
▼ -74.4% against the close used
Model range ¥99.00 – ¥300.95
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥99.00Fair value¥252.99Bull¥300.95
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥929.0052W high ¥1,033.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

GOURMET KINEYA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥990.00, 291.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥252.99 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 22/100 — Weak. P/E of 100.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥271.80
-72.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥300.95
-69.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.84, BVPS=409.09 · outside Graham range (P/E 100.6, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥196.80
-80.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.84, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥183.42
-81.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.84, g=18.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥203.72
-79.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.57B
Book Value (P/B)
¥99.00
-90.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=409.09, ROE=2.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥990.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 29.2% | Historical: -18.6%
Margin of Safety
¥192.39
-80.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=256.52, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.