ARCS COMPANY,LIMITED

9948 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥3,705.00
+1.23%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9948
ARCS COMPANY,LIMITED
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥3,705.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,398.01Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
53/100
Profitability9/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
53Prof.9/25Ret.12/25Eff.16/25B.Sht16/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,398.01
Below FV
▲ +18.7% against the close used
Model range ¥1,117.47 – ¥6,049.76
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,117.47Fair value¥4,398.01Bull¥6,049.76
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,010.0052W high ¥4,005.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

ARCS COMPANY,LIMITED closed at ¥3,705.00, 15.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,398.01 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 16.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,663.24
+52.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,369.87
+17.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=231.36, BVPS=3668.32
P/E Fair Value
¥4,627.20
+24.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=231.36, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,117.47
-69.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=231.36, g=4.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,049.76
+63.3%
(EBITDA × 12.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=28.16B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,660.26
-55.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=81.88, r=10%, g=4.8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,184.93
-68.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3668.32, ROE=6.5%, g=4.8%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,705.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.1% | Historical: 4.8%
Margin of Safety
¥3,665.08
-1.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4886.77, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.