Belc CO.,LTD.

9974 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥6,810.00
+1.49%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9974
Belc CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥6,810.00
Close used for this calculation
¥11,093.74Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability11/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet2/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.11/25Ret.18/25Eff.23/25B.Sht2/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥11,093.74
Below FV
▲ +62.9% against the close used
Model range ¥5,106.91 – ¥16,417.82
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥5,106.91Fair value¥11,093.74Bull¥16,417.82
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥6,120.0052W high ¥8,070.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Belc CO.,LTD. closed at ¥6,810.00, 38.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥11,093.74 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 11.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥11,666.61
+71.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥8,890.41
+30.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=608.69, BVPS=5771.19
P/E Fair Value
¥12,173.80
+78.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=608.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥5,106.91
-25.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=608.69, g=8.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥16,417.82
+141.1%
(EBITDA × 14.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=26.45B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥6,692.87
-1.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=123.94, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥7,213.98
+5.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5771.19, ROE=11%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥6,810.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.8% | Historical: 8.4%
Margin of Safety
¥8,182.71
+20.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=10910.27, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.