American Airlines Group

AAL US Industrials Passenger Airlines
S&P 400
$13.01
+1.25%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AAL
American Airlines Group
IndustrialsPassenger Airlines
$13.01
Close used for this calculation
$6.08Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
33/100
Profitability14/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency0/25
Growth12/25
Weak
Quality radar
33Prof.14/25Ret.10/25Eff.0/25B.Sht9/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$6.08
Above FV
▼ -53.3% against the close used
Model range $2.47 – $14.47
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$2.47Fair value$6.08Bull$14.47
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $10.1852W high $18.15

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

American Airlines Group closed at $13.01, 114.0% above the consensus fair value of $6.08 drawn from 6 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 33/100 — Weak. P/E of 76.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$3.19
-75.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$3.40
-73.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.17, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.01
-61.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.17, g=29.5%
EV/EBITDA
$14.47
+11.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.67B
Reverse DCF
$13.01
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 25.4% | Historical: -29.5%
Margin of Safety
$2.47
-81.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3.3, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.