Arcosa, Inc.

ACA US Industrials Construction & Engineering
S&P 600
$145.00
-0.17%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
IndustrialsConstruction & Engineering
$145.00
Close used for this calculation
$86.56Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
38/100
Profitability13/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth3/25
Average
Quality radar
38Prof.13/25Ret.6/25Eff.4/25B.Sht15/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

$86.56
Above FV
▼ -40.3% against the close used
Model range $15.58 – $149.12
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$15.58Fair value$86.56Bull$149.12
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $89.1552W high $145.65

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Arcosa, Inc. closed at $145.00, 67.5% above the consensus fair value of $86.56 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 34.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$59.48
-59.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$76.08
-47.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.24, BVPS=60.67 · outside Graham range (P/E 34.2, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$84.80
-41.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.24, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$25.23
-82.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.24, g=6%
EV/EBITDA
$149.12
+2.8%
(EBITDA × 13x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=564.9M
Book Value (P/B)
$15.58
-89.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=60.67, ROE=7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$145.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 14.4% | Historical: 6%
Margin of Safety
$55.09
-62.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=73.45, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.