$98.24
Below FV▲ +54.6% against the close used
Model range $40.22 – $162.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$40.22Fair value$98.24Bull$162.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $61.0452W high $134.35
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
AECOM closed at $63.53, 35.3% below the consensus fair value of $98.24 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 76/100 — Strong. P/E of 15.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$101.88
+60.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$40.22
-36.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.21, BVPS=17.08 · outside Graham range (P/E 15.1, P/B 3.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$84.20
+32.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.21, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$126.30
+98.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.21, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$162.20
+155.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.2B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$59.01
-7.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.09, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$83.72
+31.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=17.08, ROE=25.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$63.53
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.3% | Historical: 34.1%
Margin of Safety
$56.58
-10.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=75.43, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.