American Eagle Outfitters

AEO US Consumer Discretionary Apparel Retail
S&P 600
$15.02
+3.37%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AEO
American Eagle Outfitters
Consumer DiscretionaryApparel Retail
$15.02
Close used for this calculation
$23.75Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Profitability13/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth19/25
Good
Quality radar
62Prof.13/25Ret.16/25Eff.20/25B.Sht13/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

$23.75
Below FV
▲ +58.1% against the close used
Model range $12.11 – $39.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$12.11Fair value$23.75Bull$39.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $14.3152W high $28.19

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

American Eagle Outfitters closed at $15.02, 36.8% below the consensus fair value of $23.75 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 13.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$22.02
+46.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$21.80
+45.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.09, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$12.11
-19.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.09, g=11.1%
EV/EBITDA
$39.60
+163.7%
(EBITDA × 15.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=448.4M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$27.01
+79.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.5, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$13.56
-9.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=9.57, ROE=11.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$15.02
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.1% | Historical: 11.1%
Margin of Safety
$16.43
+9.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=21.91, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.