AES Corporation

AES US Utilities Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
S&P 500
$14.79
-0.07%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AES
AES Corporation
UtilitiesIndependent Power Producers & Energy Traders
$14.79
Close used for this calculation
$17.47Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
55/100
Profitability11/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet2/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth11/25
Good
Quality radar
55Prof.11/25Ret.17/25Eff.25/25B.Sht2/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$17.47
Below FV
▲ +18.1% against the close used
Model range $3.15 – $25.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$3.15Fair value$17.47Bull$25.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $12.5152W high $17.28

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

AES Corporation closed at $14.79, 15.3% below the consensus fair value of $17.47 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 55/100 — Good. P/E of 11.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$17.20
+16.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$25.20
+70.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.26, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$3.15
-78.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.26, g=2.5%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$9.62
-34.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.7, r=10%, g=2.5%
Book Value (P/B)
$15.21
+2.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=6.91, ROE=18.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$14.79
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.1% | Historical: 2.5%
Margin of Safety
$15.90
+7.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=21.2, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.