AGCO

AGCO US Industrials Agricultural & Farm Machinery
S&P 400
$121.10
-0.68%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AGCO
AGCO
IndustrialsAgricultural & Farm Machinery
$121.10
Close used for this calculation
$163.14Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability13/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth11/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.13/25Ret.14/25Eff.18/25B.Sht14/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$163.14
Below FV
▲ +34.7% against the close used
Model range $81.71 – $195.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$81.71Fair value$163.14Bull$195.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $98.4552W high $140.49

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

AGCO closed at $121.10, 25.8% below the consensus fair value of $163.14 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 12.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$190.29
+57.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$112.21
-7.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.75, BVPS=57.39 · outside Graham range (P/E 12.4, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$195.00
+61.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.75, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$81.71
-32.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.75, g=8.4%
EV/EBITDA
$141.10
+16.5%
(EBITDA × 14.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=852.2M
Book Value (P/B)
$169.31
+39.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=57.39, ROE=17.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$121.10
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.7% | Historical: 8.4%
Margin of Safety
$124.38
+2.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=165.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.