Assured Guaranty Ltd.
S&P 600
$72.93
-0.19%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
$72.93
Close used for this calculation
$153.63Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$153.63
Below FV▲ +110.7% against the close used
Model range $47.09 – $205.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$47.09Fair value$153.63Bull$205.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $72.2152W high $92.18
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Assured Guaranty Ltd. closed at $72.93, 52.5% below the consensus fair value of $153.63 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 7.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$158.04
+116.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$168.92
+131.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=10.26, BVPS=123.61
P/E Fair Value
$205.20
+181.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=10.26, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$47.09
-35.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=10.26, g=4.6%
EV/EBITDA
$139.81
+91.7%
(EBITDA × 12.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=662M
Book Value (P/B)
$101.90
+39.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=123.61, ROE=9.1%, g=4.6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$72.93
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -7.2% | Historical: 4.6%
Margin of Safety
$133.04
+82.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=177.39, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.