Argan, Inc.

AGX US Industrials Construction & Engineering
S&P 600
$413.74
+4.39%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AGX
Argan, Inc.
IndustrialsConstruction & Engineering
$413.74
Close used for this calculation
$330.67Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability21/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.21/25Ret.10/25Eff.8/25B.Sht19/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$330.67
Above FV
▼ -20.1% against the close used
Model range $88.56 – $576.51
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$88.56Fair value$330.67Bull$576.51
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $230.3152W high $798.55

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Argan, Inc. closed at $413.74, 25.1% above the consensus fair value of $330.67 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 42.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$576.51
+39.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$88.56
-78.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.74, BVPS=35.79 · outside Graham range (P/E 42.5, P/B 11.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$194.80
-52.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$292.20
-29.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.74, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$173.84
-58.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=136.61M
Book Value (P/B)
$189.51
-54.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=35.79, ROE=27.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$413.74
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.3% | Historical: 33.6%
Margin of Safety
$214.97
-48.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=286.62, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.