$112.52
Above FV▼ -53.2% against the close used
Model range $6.93 – $140.15
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$6.93Fair value$112.52Bull$140.15
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $192.0052W high $310.48
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. closed at $240.32, 113.6% above the consensus fair value of $112.52 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 36/100 — Average. P/E of 41.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$113.93
-52.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$109.26
-54.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.74, BVPS=92.43 · outside Graham range (P/E 41.9, P/B 2.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$114.80
-52.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$58.61
-75.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.74, g=10.2%
EV/EBITDA
$130.10
-45.9%
(EBITDA × 15.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.99B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$140.15
-41.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.6, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.93
-97.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=92.43, ROE=6.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$240.32
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.1% | Historical: 10.2%
Margin of Safety
$84.50
-64.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=112.66, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.