Alamo Group

ALG US Industrials Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
S&P 600
$169.08
+1.08%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ALG
Alamo Group
IndustrialsConstruction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
$169.08
Close used for this calculation
$178.50Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Profitability13/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth5/25
Average
Quality radar
46Prof.13/25Ret.7/25Eff.11/25B.Sht15/25Growth5/25

Consensus fair value

$178.50
Near FV
▲ +5.6% against the close used
Model range $66.95 – $237.62
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$66.95Fair value$178.50Bull$237.62
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $147.2752W high $218.47

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Alamo Group closed at $169.08, 5.3% below the consensus fair value of $178.50 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 19.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$237.62
+40.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$137.44
-18.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.59, BVPS=97.73 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.7, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$171.80
+1.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.59, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$74.99
-55.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.59, g=8.7%
EV/EBITDA
$212.43
+25.6%
(EBITDA × 14.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=178.7M
Book Value (P/B)
$66.95
-60.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=97.73, ROE=8.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$169.08
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.9% | Historical: 8.7%
Margin of Safety
$136.72
-19.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=182.29, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.