$148.74
Near FV▼ -3.0% against the close used
Model range $50.67 – $174.26
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$50.67Fair value$148.74Bull$174.26
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $125.6552W high $179.77
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Allegion closed at $153.35, 3.1% above the consensus fair value of $148.74 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 20.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$157.29
+2.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$50.67
-67.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.44, BVPS=15.33 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.6, P/B 10) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$148.80
-3.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.44, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$102.45
-33.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.44, g=13.8%
EV/EBITDA
$174.26
+13.6%
(EBITDA × 16.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=989.2M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$110.14
-28.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.04, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$164.24
+7.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.33, ROE=48.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$153.35
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.6% | Historical: 13.8%
Margin of Safety
$89.19
-41.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=118.92, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.