Alarm.Com, Inc.
S&P 600
$55.36
+0.34%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
ALRM
Alarm.Com, Inc.
$55.36
Close used for this calculation
$48.92Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$48.92
Near FV▼ -11.6% against the close used
Model range $29.26 – $73.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$29.26Fair value$48.92Bull$73.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $42.1352W high $57.60
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Alarm.Com, Inc. closed at $55.36, 13.2% above the consensus fair value of $48.92 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 22.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$50.84
-8.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$29.26
-47.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.46, BVPS=15.46 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.5, P/B 3.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$49.20
-11.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.46, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$73.80
+33.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.46, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$55.32
-0.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=164.46M
Book Value (P/B)
$35.68
-35.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.46, ROE=15.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$55.36
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.7% | Historical: 33.2%
Margin of Safety
$32.33
-41.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=43.1, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.