Amcor

AMCR US Materials Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
S&P 500
$42.32
-1.58%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AMCR
Amcor
MaterialsPaper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
$42.32
Close used for this calculation
$67.16Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
68/100
Profitability17/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
68Prof.17/25Ret.12/25Eff.18/25B.Sht21/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

$67.16
Below FV
▲ +58.7% against the close used
Model range $21.54 – $139.63
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$21.54Fair value$67.16Bull$139.63
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $36.6952W high $50.58

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Amcor closed at $42.32, 37.0% below the consensus fair value of $67.16 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 68/100 — Strong. P/E of 17.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$52.49
+24.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$36.95
-12.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.38, BVPS=25.49 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.8, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$47.60
+12.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$71.40
+68.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.38, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$130.84
+209.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.38B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$139.63
+229.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.59, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$21.54
-49.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=25.49, ROE=9.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$42.32
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.6% | Historical: 38.1%
Margin of Safety
$34.26
-19.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=45.68, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.