Amerisafe, Inc.

AMSF US Financials Property & Casualty Insurance
S&P 600
$24.77
+0.45%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AMSF
Amerisafe, Inc.
FinancialsProperty & Casualty Insurance
$24.77
Close used for this calculation
$27.49Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability10/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth11/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.10/25Ret.17/25Eff.25/25B.Sht14/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$27.49
Near FV
▲ +11.0% against the close used
Model range $3.11 – $49.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$3.11Fair value$27.49Bull$49.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $24.6652W high $45.39

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Amerisafe, Inc. closed at $24.77, 9.9% below the consensus fair value of $27.49 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$8.76
-64.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$27.28
+10.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.47, BVPS=13.39
P/E Fair Value
$49.40
+99.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.47, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$3.11
-87.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.47, g=1.3%
EV/EBITDA
$31.22
+26.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=59.59M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$19.90
-19.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.56, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$30.34
+22.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=13.39, ROE=18.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$24.77
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.3% | Historical: -1.3%
Margin of Safety
$21.36
-13.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=28.48, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.