AutoNation
S&P 400
$203.67
-1.71%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
AN
AutoNation
$203.67
Close used for this calculation
$357.06Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
65/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$357.06
Below FV▲ +75.3% against the close used
Model range $160.01 – $576.45
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$160.01Fair value$357.06Bull$576.45
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $178.5952W high $229.98
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
AutoNation closed at $203.67, 43.0% below the consensus fair value of $357.06 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$338.23
+66.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$160.01
-21.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=17.04, BVPS=66.78 · outside Graham range (P/E 12, P/B 3.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$340.80
+67.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=17.04, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$262.76
+29.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=17.04, g=15.4%
EV/EBITDA
$576.45
+183.0%
(EBITDA × 17.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.24B
Book Value (P/B)
$379.46
+86.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=66.78, ROE=28.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$203.67
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.2% | Historical: 15.4%
Margin of Safety
$209.76
+3.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=279.68, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.