The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$35.99Fair value$97.50Bull$130.59
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $143.3452W high $285.18
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
AppFolio closed at $208.48, 113.8% above the consensus fair value of $97.50 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 53.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$130.59
-37.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$35.99
-82.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.88, BVPS=14.84 · outside Graham range (P/E 53.7, P/B 14.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$77.60
-62.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.88, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$116.40
-44.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.88, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$87.01
-58.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=175.57M
Book Value (P/B)
$77.09
-63.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.84, ROE=26.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$208.48
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 20.5% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$61.05
-70.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=81.39, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.