Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance
S&P 600
$6.63
-0.75%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance
$6.63
Close used for this calculation
$13.42Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
56/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$13.42
Below FV▲ +102.4% against the close used
Model range $5.87 – $16.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$5.87Fair value$13.42Bull$16.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $6.5052W high $11.22
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance closed at $6.63, 50.6% below the consensus fair value of $13.42 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 8.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$15.18
+129.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$16.20
+144.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.81, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.87
-11.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.81, g=7.3%
EV/EBITDA
$8.84
+33.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=138.22M
Book Value (P/B)
$9.75
+47.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=9.61, ROE=10.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$6.63
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.1% | Historical: -7.3%
Margin of Safety
$11.77
+77.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=15.69, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.