ASML Holding N.V.

ASML US Technology Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Nasdaq 100
$1,698.30
+0.64%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & Materials
$1,698.30
Close used for this calculation
$541.93Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Profitability25/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
60Prof.25/25Ret.10/25Eff.6/25B.Sht19/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$541.93
Above FV
▼ -68.1% against the close used
Model range $167.44 – $570.58
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$167.44Fair value$541.93Bull$570.58
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $804.1652W high $1,989.44

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

ASML Holding N.V. closed at $1,698.30, 213.4% above the consensus fair value of $541.93 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 68.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$565.78
-66.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$167.44
-90.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=24.71, BVPS=50.42 · outside Graham range (P/E 68.7, P/B 33.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$494.20
-70.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=24.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$548.81
-67.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=24.71, g=22.2%
EV/EBITDA
$570.58
-66.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=12.33B
Book Value (P/B)
$542.06
-68.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=50.42, ROE=49%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$1,698.30
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 23.9% | Historical: 22.2%
Margin of Safety
$306.86
-81.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=409.14, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.