Academy Sports + Outdoors

ASO US Consumer Discretionary Specialty Stores
S&P 600
$55.36
+2.11%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ASO
Academy Sports + Outdoors
Consumer DiscretionarySpecialty Stores
$55.36
Close used for this calculation
$103.26Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
81/100
Profitability19/25
Returns19/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency22/25
Growth20/25
Exceptional
Quality radar
81Prof.19/25Ret.19/25Eff.22/25B.Sht21/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$103.26
Below FV
▲ +86.5% against the close used
Model range $59.74 – $166.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$59.74Fair value$103.26Bull$166.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $41.7352W high $61.19

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Academy Sports + Outdoors closed at $55.36, 46.4% below the consensus fair value of $103.26 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 81/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 10.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$64.83
+17.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$63.34
+14.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.54, BVPS=32.19
P/E Fair Value
$110.80
+100.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.54, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$166.20
+200.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.54, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$165.82
+199.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=635.05M
Book Value (P/B)
$94.63
+70.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=32.19, ROE=17.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$55.36
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.3% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$59.74
+7.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=79.66, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.