Astrana Health, Inc.

ASTH US Health Care Health Care Facilities
S&P 600
$37.98
-0.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ASTH
Astrana Health, Inc.
Health CareHealth Care Facilities
$37.98
Close used for this calculation
$16.92Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
23/100
Profitability9/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency2/25
Growth1/25
Weak
Quality radar
23Prof.9/25Ret.1/25Eff.2/25B.Sht11/25Growth1/25

Consensus fair value

$16.92
Above FV
▼ -55.5% against the close used
Model range $0.59 – $27.21
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$0.59Fair value$16.92Bull$27.21
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $18.1652W high $49.81

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Astrana Health, Inc. closed at $37.98, 124.5% above the consensus fair value of $16.92 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 23/100 — Weak. P/E of 82.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$27.21
-28.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$13.13
-65.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.46, BVPS=16.66 · outside Graham range (P/E 82.6, P/B 2.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$9.20
-75.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.46, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$0.59
-98.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.46, g=1.3%
EV/EBITDA
$14.60
-61.6%
(EBITDA × 10.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=124.27M
Book Value (P/B)
$4.51
-88.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=16.66, ROE=2.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$37.98
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 26.4% | Historical: 1.3%
Margin of Safety
$12.39
-67.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=16.51, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.