Atmos Energy

ATO US Utilities Gas Utilities
S&P 500
$163.19
-0.98%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ATO
Atmos Energy
UtilitiesGas Utilities
$163.19
Close used for this calculation
$157.85Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
43/100
Profitability25/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet0/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth15/25
Average
Quality radar
43Prof.25/25Ret.7/25Eff.11/25B.Sht0/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

$157.85
Near FV
▼ -3.3% against the close used
Model range $41.92 – $257.05
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$41.92Fair value$157.85Bull$257.05
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $162.4452W high $192.29

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Atmos Energy closed at $163.19, 3.4% above the consensus fair value of $157.85 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 21.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$148.07
-9.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$123.02
-24.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.46, BVPS=90.16 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.9, P/B 1.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$149.20
-8.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.46, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$152.86
-6.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.46, g=20.5%
EV/EBITDA
$257.05
+57.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.29B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$187.70
+15.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.48, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$41.92
-74.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=90.16, ROE=7.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$163.19
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.4% | Historical: 20.5%
Margin of Safety
$105.07
-35.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=140.1, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.