The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$5.64Fair value$46.57Bull$74.74
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $35.5552W high $43.08
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Avista Corporation closed at $36.79, 21.0% below the consensus fair value of $46.57 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 47/100 — Average. P/E of 15.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$44.61
+21.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$42.71
+16.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.38, BVPS=34.06
P/E Fair Value
$47.60
+29.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.64
-84.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.38, g=2.4%
EV/EBITDA
$74.74
+103.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=643M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$25.00
-32.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.96, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$18.69
-49.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=34.06, ROE=6.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$36.79
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.7% | Historical: -2.4%
Margin of Safety
$33.73
-8.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=44.97, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.