Armstrong World Industries, Inc.

AWI US Industrials Building Products
S&P 600
$163.87
+0.70%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
IndustrialsBuilding Products
$163.87
Close used for this calculation
$143.06Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
65/100
Profitability23/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Strong
Quality radar
65Prof.23/25Ret.15/25Eff.10/25B.Sht17/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$143.06
Near FV
▼ -12.7% against the close used
Model range $57.45 – $220.85
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$57.45Fair value$143.06Bull$220.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $151.4352W high $203.71

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. closed at $163.87, 14.5% above the consensus fair value of $143.06 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 23.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$112.03
-31.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$57.45
-64.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.08, BVPS=20.72 · outside Graham range (P/E 23.2, P/B 7.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$141.60
-13.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$141.88
-13.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.08, g=20%
EV/EBITDA
$220.85
+34.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=551.3M
Book Value (P/B)
$149.73
-8.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=20.72, ROE=34.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$163.87
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.1% | Historical: 20%
Margin of Safety
$77.77
-52.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=103.69, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.