$117.47
Near FV▼ -14.7% against the close used
Model range $47.63 – $193.82
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$47.63Fair value$117.47Bull$193.82
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $121.1352W high $145.43
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
American Water Works closed at $137.69, 17.2% above the consensus fair value of $117.47 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 24.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$108.93
-20.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$87.36
-36.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.69, BVPS=59.61 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.2, P/B 2.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$113.80
-17.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$47.63
-65.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.69, g=8.4%
EV/EBITDA
$193.82
+40.8%
(EBITDA × 14.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.77B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$178.45
+29.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.3, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$52.45
-61.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=59.61, ROE=9.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$137.69
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.7% | Historical: 8.4%
Margin of Safety
$77.52
-43.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=103.36, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.