American States Water Company

AWR US Utilities Water Utilities
S&P 600
$86.48
-1.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

AWR
American States Water Company
UtilitiesWater Utilities
$86.48
Close used for this calculation
$58.42Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability19/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet6/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.19/25Ret.9/25Eff.11/25B.Sht6/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$58.42
Above FV
▼ -32.4% against the close used
Model range $24.23 – $73.89
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$24.23Fair value$58.42Bull$73.89
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $70.1052W high $91.10

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

American States Water Company closed at $86.48, 48.0% above the consensus fair value of $58.42 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 25.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$60.29
-30.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.2%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$46.44
-46.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.37, BVPS=28.45 · outside Graham range (P/E 25.7, P/B 3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$67.40
-22.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.37, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$24.23
-72.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.37, g=7.2%
EV/EBITDA
$68.44
-20.9%
(EBITDA × 13.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=251.06M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$73.89
-14.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.94, r=10%, g=7.2%
Book Value (P/B)
$40.04
-53.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=28.45, ROE=11.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$86.48
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.5% | Historical: 7.2%
Margin of Safety
$43.53
-49.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=58.04, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.