Balu Forge Industries Ltd

BALUFORGE NSE Industrials Castings & Forgings
Microcap 250
₹532.50
-0.77%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

BALUFORGE
Balu Forge Industries Ltd
IndustrialsCastings & Forgings
₹536.65
Close used for this calculation
₹513.46Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability25/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.25/25Ret.11/25Eff.10/25B.Sht11/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

₹513.46
Near FV
▼ -4.3% against the close used
Model range ₹255.67 – ₹960.61
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear₹255.67Fair value₹513.46Bull₹960.61
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ₹356.3052W high ₹684.55

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Balu Forge Industries Ltd closed at ₹536.65, 4.5% above the consensus fair value of ₹513.46 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 24.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
₹423.38
-21.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
₹255.67
-52.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=21.33, BVPS=136.21 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.2, P/B 3.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
Graham Formula
₹960.61
+79.0%
EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 6.5 ÷ FD_Rate
g=20%, FD=7%
P/E Fair Value
₹640.97
+19.4%
EPS × 30.05x (sector P/E)
EPS=21.33, Sector P/E=30.05x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
₹533.25
-0.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=21.33, g=25%
EV/EBITDA
₹449.87
-16.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.1B
Book Value (P/B)
₹463.10
-13.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=136.21, ROE=19.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
₹536.65
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.2% | Historical: 25%
Margin of Safety
₹427.62
-20.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=570.16, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.