BJ's Restaurants, Inc.

BJRI US Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
S&P 600
$60.78
+1.11%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

BJRI
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants
$60.78
Close used for this calculation
$48.43Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
51/100
Profitability17/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
51Prof.17/25Ret.9/25Eff.10/25B.Sht15/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$48.43
Above FV
▼ -20.3% against the close used
Model range $27.21 – $95.18
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$27.21Fair value$48.43Bull$95.18
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $28.6952W high $74.26

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. closed at $60.78, 25.5% above the consensus fair value of $48.43 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 28.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$35.93
-40.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$29.69
-51.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.16, BVPS=18.14 · outside Graham range (P/E 28.1, P/B 3.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$43.20
-28.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$59.72
-1.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.16, g=27.7%
EV/EBITDA
$95.18
+56.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=122.88M
Book Value (P/B)
$28.48
-53.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=18.14, ROE=12.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$60.78
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.7% | Historical: 27.7%
Margin of Safety
$27.21
-55.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=36.27, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.