TopBuild Corp.

BLD US Consumer Discretionary Homebuilding
S&P 400

Fair value analysis

BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Consumer Discretionary›Homebuilding
$354.53
Close used for this calculation
$416.52Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Profitability19/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency15/25
Growth17/25
Good
Quality radar
62Prof.19/25Ret.15/25Eff.15/25B.Sht13/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$416.52
Below FV
▲ +17.5% against the close used
Model range $187.45 – $548.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$187.45Fair value$416.52Bull$548.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $335.3952W high $550.90

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

TopBuild Corp. closed at $354.53, 14.9% below the consensus fair value of $416.52 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 19.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$484.66
+36.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$187.45
-47.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.28, BVPS=85.43 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.4, P/B 4.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$365.60
+3.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.28, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$548.40
+54.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.28, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$513.00
+44.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=961.31M
Book Value (P/B)
$335.31
-5.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=85.43, ROE=21.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$354.53
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.7% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$259.43
-26.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=345.9, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.