Dutch Bros Inc.

BROS US Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
S&P 400
$43.90
+1.06%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants
$43.90
Close used for this calculation
$23.38Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability17/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth12/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.17/25Ret.6/25Eff.6/25B.Sht19/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$23.38
Above FV
▼ -46.7% against the close used
Model range $5.93 – $39.87
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.93Fair value$23.38Bull$39.87
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $43.4452W high $73.31

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Dutch Bros Inc. closed at $43.90, 87.8% above the consensus fair value of $23.38 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 68.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$8.66
-80.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$12.80
-70.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$19.20
-56.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.64, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$39.87
-9.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=276.31M
Book Value (P/B)
$5.93
-86.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5.92, ROE=10%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$43.90
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 23.9% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$8.05
-81.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=10.73, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.