The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$3.60Fair value$13.53Bull$45.43
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $13.3552W high $20.63
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. closed at $13.35, 1.3% below the consensus fair value of $13.53 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 20.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$10.47
-21.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$16.69
+25.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.64, BVPS=19.35
P/E Fair Value
$12.80
-4.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$3.60
-73.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.64, g=5.6%
EV/EBITDA
$13.64
+2.1%
(EBITDA × 12.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=182.18M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$45.43
+240.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.88, r=10%, g=5.6%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.50
-51.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=19.35, ROE=3.4%, g=5.6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$13.35
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.7% | Historical: 5.6%
Margin of Safety
$9.99
-25.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=13.32, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.