Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.

BXMT US Financials Mortgage REITs
S&P 600
$13.35
-0.96%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
FinancialsMortgage REITs
$13.35
Close used for this calculation
$13.53Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
43/100
Profitability19/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth10/25
Average
Quality radar
43Prof.19/25Ret.5/25Eff.11/25B.Sht8/25Growth10/25

Consensus fair value

$13.53
Near FV
▲ +1.3% against the close used
Model range $3.60 – $45.43
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$3.60Fair value$13.53Bull$45.43
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $13.3552W high $20.63

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. closed at $13.35, 1.3% below the consensus fair value of $13.53 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 20.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$10.47
-21.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$16.69
+25.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.64, BVPS=19.35
P/E Fair Value
$12.80
-4.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$3.60
-73.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.64, g=5.6%
EV/EBITDA
$13.64
+2.1%
(EBITDA × 12.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=182.18M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$45.43
+240.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.88, r=10%, g=5.6%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.50
-51.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=19.35, ROE=3.4%, g=5.6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$13.35
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.7% | Historical: 5.6%
Margin of Safety
$9.99
-25.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=13.32, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.