The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.

CAKE US Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
S&P 600
$102.70
+1.52%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CAKE
The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants
$102.70
Close used for this calculation
$68.15Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
43/100
Profitability17/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth15/25
Average
Quality radar
43Prof.17/25Ret.12/25Eff.7/25B.Sht7/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

$68.15
Above FV
▼ -33.6% against the close used
Model range $27.14 – $101.42
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$27.14Fair value$68.15Bull$101.42
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $43.1452W high $117.29

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. closed at $102.70, 50.7% above the consensus fair value of $68.15 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 33.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$63.46
-38.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$27.14
-73.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.06, BVPS=10.7 · outside Graham range (P/E 33.6, P/B 9.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$61.20
-40.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.06, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$61.51
-40.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.06, g=20.1%
EV/EBITDA
$101.42
-1.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=296.32M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$58.23
-43.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.08, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$60.44
-41.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=10.7, ROE=28.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$102.70
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 14.1% | Historical: 20.1%
Margin of Safety
$37.95
-63.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=50.6, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.