Casey's

CASY US Consumer Staples Food Retail
S&P 500
$615.47
-1.94%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CASY
Casey's
Consumer StaplesFood Retail
$615.47
Close used for this calculation
$355.95Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability17/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.17/25Ret.15/25Eff.10/25B.Sht12/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$355.95
Above FV
▼ -42.2% against the close used
Model range $213.70 – $436.85
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$213.70Fair value$355.95Bull$436.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $513.1952W high $916.28

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Casey's closed at $615.47, 72.9% above the consensus fair value of $355.95 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 32.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$384.12
-37.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$213.70
-65.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=19.16, BVPS=105.93 · outside Graham range (P/E 32.1, P/B 5.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$383.20
-37.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=19.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$436.85
-29.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=19.16, g=22.8%
Book Value (P/B)
$319.92
-48.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=105.93, ROE=18.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$615.47
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.5% | Historical: 22.8%
Margin of Safety
$245.26
-60.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=327.01, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.