Caterpillar Inc.

CAT US Industrials Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
S&P 500 Dow Jones
$818.57
+1.69%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
IndustrialsConstruction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
$818.57
Close used for this calculation
$379.69Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability19/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth9/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.19/25Ret.10/25Eff.8/25B.Sht11/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$379.69
Above FV
▼ -53.6% against the close used
Model range $133.22 – $455.75
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$133.22Fair value$379.69Bull$455.75
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $431.3852W high $1,064.90

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Caterpillar Inc. closed at $818.57, 115.6% above the consensus fair value of $379.69 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 43.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$374.87
-54.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$133.22
-83.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.81, BVPS=41.93 · outside Graham range (P/E 43.5, P/B 19.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$376.20
-54.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.81, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$320.52
-60.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.81, g=17%
EV/EBITDA
$455.75
-44.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=13.41B
Book Value (P/B)
$417.25
-49.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=41.93, ROE=45.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$818.57
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.6% | Historical: 17%
Margin of Safety
$221.07
-73.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=294.76, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.