$379.69
Above FV▼ -53.6% against the close used
Model range $133.22 – $455.75
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$133.22Fair value$379.69Bull$455.75
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $431.3852W high $1,064.90
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Caterpillar Inc. closed at $818.57, 115.6% above the consensus fair value of $379.69 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 43.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$374.87
-54.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$133.22
-83.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.81, BVPS=41.93 · outside Graham range (P/E 43.5, P/B 19.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$376.20
-54.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.81, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$320.52
-60.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.81, g=17%
EV/EBITDA
$455.75
-44.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=13.41B
Book Value (P/B)
$417.25
-49.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=41.93, ROE=45.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$818.57
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.6% | Historical: 17%
Margin of Safety
$221.07
-73.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=294.76, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.