Century Aluminum Company

CENX US Materials Aluminum
S&P 600
$44.05
-0.70%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CENX
Century Aluminum Company
MaterialsAluminum
$44.05
Close used for this calculation
$17.27Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
30/100
Profitability14/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency2/25
Growth12/25
Weak
Quality radar
30Prof.14/25Ret.1/25Eff.2/25B.Sht13/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$17.27
Above FV
▼ -60.8% against the close used
Model range $3.99 – $25.11
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$3.99Fair value$17.27Bull$25.11
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $24.5252W high $68.77

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Century Aluminum Company closed at $44.05, 155.1% above the consensus fair value of $17.27 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 30/100 — Weak. P/E of 104.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$15.97
-63.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$11.25
-74.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.42, BVPS=13.39 · outside Graham range (P/E 104.9, P/B 3.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$8.40
-80.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.42, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$12.60
-71.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.42, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$25.11
-43.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=249.9M
Book Value (P/B)
$3.99
-90.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=13.39, ROE=3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$44.05
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 29.8% | Historical: -31.4%
Margin of Safety
$8.91
-79.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=11.87, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.