Choice Hotels
S&P 400
$96.77
-1.49%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
CHH
Choice Hotels
$96.77
Close used for this calculation
$145.62Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
65/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$145.62
Below FV▲ +50.5% against the close used
Model range $62.18 – $158.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$62.18Fair value$145.62Bull$158.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $84.4052W high $122.08
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Choice Hotels closed at $96.77, 33.5% below the consensus fair value of $145.62 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$156.81
+62.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$158.00
+63.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$125.29
+29.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.9, g=15.9%
EV/EBITDA
$154.81
+60.0%
(EBITDA × 17.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=508.11M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$62.18
-35.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.15, r=10%, g=8%
Reverse DCF
$96.77
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.5% | Historical: 15.9%
Margin of Safety
$118.05
+22.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=157.41, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.