Chord Energy

CHRD US Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
S&P 400
$152.01
+0.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CHRD
Chord Energy
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production
$152.01
Close used for this calculation
$168.02Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability12/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth19/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.12/25Ret.10/25Eff.9/25B.Sht14/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

$168.02
Near FV
▲ +10.5% against the close used
Model range $11.60 – $256.09
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$11.60Fair value$168.02Bull$256.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $84.9952W high $152.01

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Chord Energy closed at $152.01, 9.5% below the consensus fair value of $168.02 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 205.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$13.87
-90.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$49.57
-67.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.74, BVPS=147.58 · outside Graham range (P/E 205.4, P/B 1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$14.80
-90.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$11.60
-92.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.74, g=15.7%
EV/EBITDA
$256.09
+68.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.67B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$66.28
-56.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.2, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$14.76
-90.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=147.58, ROE=1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$152.01
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 39.6% | Historical: -15.7%
Margin of Safety
$19.56
-87.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=26.08, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.