Cincinnati Financial

CINF US Financials Property & Casualty Insurance
S&P 500
$169.80
+0.12%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CINF
Cincinnati Financial
FinancialsProperty & Casualty Insurance
$169.80
Close used for this calculation
$303.85Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
79/100
Profitability21/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
79Prof.21/25Ret.14/25Eff.23/25B.Sht21/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$303.85
Below FV
▲ +78.9% against the close used
Model range $187.97 – $389.06
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$187.97Fair value$303.85Bull$389.06
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $151.3952W high $192.03

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Cincinnati Financial closed at $169.80, 44.1% below the consensus fair value of $303.85 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 79/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$389.06
+129.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$190.92
+12.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=15.17, BVPS=106.79
P/E Fair Value
$303.40
+78.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=15.17, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$256.52
+51.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=15.17, g=16.9%
EV/EBITDA
$344.15
+102.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.02B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$187.97
+10.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.48, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$222.93
+31.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=106.79, ROE=14.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$169.80
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.7% | Historical: 16.9%
Margin of Safety
$220.84
+30.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=294.46, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.