Commercial Metals

CMC US Materials Steel
S&P 400
$67.17
+0.83%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CMC
Commercial Metals
MaterialsSteel
$67.17
Close used for this calculation
$36.90Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
40/100
Profitability11/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
40Prof.11/25Ret.1/25Eff.5/25B.Sht23/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$36.90
Above FV
▼ -45.1% against the close used
Model range $7.10 – $54.17
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$7.10Fair value$36.90Bull$54.17
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $55.3552W high $83.21

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Commercial Metals closed at $67.17, 82.0% above the consensus fair value of $36.90 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 40/100 — Average. P/E of 90.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$54.17
-19.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$25.96
-61.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.74, BVPS=40.46 · outside Graham range (P/E 90.8, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$14.80
-78.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$7.10
-89.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.74, g=9.6%
EV/EBITDA
$49.11
-26.9%
(EBITDA × 14.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=393.42M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$38.81
-42.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.72, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$7.57
-88.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=40.46, ROE=1.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$67.17
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 27.8% | Historical: 9.6%
Margin of Safety
$23.73
-64.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=31.64, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.