CME Group

CME US Financials Financial Exchanges & Data
S&P 500
$275.54
+0.54%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CME
CME Group
FinancialsFinancial Exchanges & Data
$275.54
Close used for this calculation
$201.02Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
55/100
Profitability21/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
55Prof.21/25Ret.11/25Eff.11/25B.Sht12/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$201.02
Above FV
▼ -27.0% against the close used
Model range $129.01 – $269.31
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$129.01Fair value$201.02Bull$269.31
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $218.5852W high $326.46

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

CME Group closed at $275.54, 37.1% above the consensus fair value of $201.02 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 55/100 — Good. P/E of 24.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$228.12
-17.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$135.83
-50.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=11.16, BVPS=73.48 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.7, P/B 3.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$223.20
-19.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=11.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$129.01
-53.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=11.16, g=11.6%
EV/EBITDA
$187.56
-31.9%
(EBITDA × 15.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.34B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$269.31
-2.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$171.75
-37.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=73.48, ROE=15.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$275.54
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10% | Historical: 11.6%
Margin of Safety
$146.79
-46.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=195.72, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.