Capital One

COF US Financials Consumer Finance
S&P 500
$208.30
+0.57%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

COF
Capital One
FinancialsConsumer Finance
$208.30
Close used for this calculation
$91.04Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
40/100
Profitability16/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
40Prof.16/25Ret.1/25Eff.5/25B.Sht18/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$91.04
Above FV
▼ -56.3% against the close used
Model range $22.53 – $127.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$22.53Fair value$91.04Bull$127.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $176.1052W high $257.94

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Capital One closed at $208.30, 128.8% above the consensus fair value of $91.04 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 40/100 — Average. P/E of 51.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$75.53
-63.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$127.60
-38.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.03, BVPS=179.57 · outside Graham range (P/E 51.7, P/B 1.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$80.60
-61.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.03, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$22.53
-89.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.03, g=5.6%
EV/EBITDA
$123.89
-40.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.54B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$33.20
-84.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.6, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$39.33
-81.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=179.57, ROE=2.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$208.30
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 20% | Historical: -5.6%
Margin of Safety
$70.93
-65.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=94.58, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.