$113.29
Above FV▼ -17.5% against the close used
Model range $13.02 – $211.71
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$13.02Fair value$113.29Bull$211.71
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $85.6652W high $137.35
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
ConocoPhillips closed at $137.35, 21.2% above the consensus fair value of $113.29 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 21.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$84.48
-38.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$87.72
-36.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.35, BVPS=53.86 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.6, P/B 2.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$127.00
-7.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.35, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$13.02
-90.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.35, g=2.1%
EV/EBITDA
$211.71
+54.1%
(EBITDA × 11x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=24.16B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$40.90
-70.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.19, r=10%, g=2.1%
Book Value (P/B)
$70.94
-48.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=53.86, ROE=12.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$137.35
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.2% | Historical: 2.1%
Margin of Safety
$74.80
-45.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=99.73, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.