Costco

COST US Consumer Staples Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
$904.77
+0.26%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

COST
Costco
Consumer StaplesConsumer Staples Merchandise Retail
$904.77
Close used for this calculation
$381.11Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
50/100
Profitability17/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
50Prof.17/25Ret.8/25Eff.8/25B.Sht17/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$381.11
Above FV
▼ -57.9% against the close used
Model range $175.76 – $525.36
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$175.76Fair value$381.11Bull$525.36
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $850.0052W high $1,094.32

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Costco closed at $904.77, 137.4% above the consensus fair value of $381.11 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 49.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$349.76
-61.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$175.76
-80.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.21, BVPS=75.4 · outside Graham range (P/E 49.7, P/B 12) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$364.20
-59.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.21, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$525.36
-41.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.21, g=28.9%
EV/EBITDA
$518.40
-42.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=12.81B
Book Value (P/B)
$342.49
-62.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=75.4, ROE=24.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$904.77
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.4% | Historical: 28.9%
Margin of Safety
$222.43
-75.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=296.57, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.