CareTrust REIT

CTRE US Real Estate Health Care REITs
S&P 400
$38.62
-0.52%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CTRE
CareTrust REIT
Real EstateHealth Care REITs
$38.62
Close used for this calculation
$33.82Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability25/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency13/25
Growth17/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.25/25Ret.5/25Eff.13/25B.Sht16/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$33.82
Near FV
▼ -12.4% against the close used
Model range $5.48 – $72.37
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.48Fair value$33.82Bull$72.37
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $32.9052W high $43.40

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

CareTrust REIT closed at $38.62, 14.2% above the consensus fair value of $33.82 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 24.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$31.16
-19.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$26.05
-32.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.57, BVPS=19.21 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.6, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$31.40
-18.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$34.73
-10.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.57, g=22.1%
EV/EBITDA
$33.46
-13.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=418.18M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$72.37
+87.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.34, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$5.48
-85.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=19.21, ROE=7.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$38.62
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.9% | Historical: 22.1%
Margin of Safety
$22.15
-42.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=29.54, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.