Carvana
S&P 500
$69.16
-1.59%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
CVNA
Carvana
$69.16
Close used for this calculation
$144.19Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
73/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$144.19
Below FV▲ +108.5% against the close used
Model range $39.35 – $253.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$39.35Fair value$144.19Bull$253.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $56.2652W high $95.69
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Carvana closed at $69.16, 52.0% below the consensus fair value of $144.19 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$105.97
+53.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$169.00
+144.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.45, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$253.50
+266.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.45, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$187.04
+170.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.88B
Book Value (P/B)
$39.35
-43.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5.44, ROE=34.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$69.16
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.1% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$103.11
+49.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=137.49, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.