CoreCivic

CXW US Industrials Diversified Support Services
S&P 600
$34.93
+1.51%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

CXW
CoreCivic
IndustrialsDiversified Support Services
$34.93
Close used for this calculation
$14.95Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
39/100
Profitability8/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth4/25
Average
Quality radar
39Prof.8/25Ret.6/25Eff.9/25B.Sht16/25Growth4/25

Consensus fair value

$14.95
Above FV
▼ -57.2% against the close used
Model range $4.55 – $21.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$4.55Fair value$14.95Bull$21.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $16.1352W high $35.05

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

CoreCivic closed at $34.93, 133.6% above the consensus fair value of $14.95 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 39/100 — Average. P/E of 32.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$9.17
-73.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$18.81
-46.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.08, BVPS=14.55 · outside Graham range (P/E 32.3, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$21.60
-38.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$4.55
-87.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.08, g=4.2%
EV/EBITDA
$16.11
-53.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=286.08M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$5.61
-83.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.44, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$10.60
-69.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.55, ROE=8.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$34.93
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.6% | Historical: -4.2%
Margin of Safety
$12.40
-64.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=16.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.