Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

DFH US Consumer Discretionary Homebuilding
S&P 600
$12.27
+2.08%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

DFH
Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryHomebuilding
$12.27
Close used for this calculation
$38.04Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability15/25
Returns21/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.15/25Ret.21/25Eff.18/25B.Sht3/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$38.04
Below FV
▲ +210.0% against the close used
Model range $27.52 – $42.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$27.52Fair value$38.04Bull$42.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $12.0252W high $30.12

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. closed at $12.27, 67.7% below the consensus fair value of $38.04 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 5.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$42.48
+246.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$27.52
+124.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.14, BVPS=15.73
P/E Fair Value
$42.80
+248.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.14, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$29.81
+143.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.14, g=13.9%
EV/EBITDA
$36.50
+197.4%
(EBITDA × 17x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=299.18M
Book Value (P/B)
$36.06
+193.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.73, ROE=15.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$12.27
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: 13.9%
Margin of Safety
$28.20
+129.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=37.6, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.